Multi-scale Modeling for Viral Pandemics (1/21/2021)

Contributors
Kevin A. Janes, Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia, Title: Complete kinetic models are pervasive in chemistry but lacking in biological systems.

Rahuman Sheriff, European Bioinformatics Institute, Title: Reproducibility in Systems Biology Modelling
Institution/ Affiliation
Kevin A. Janes, Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia
Rahuman Sheriff, European Bioinformatics Institute
Presentation Details (date, conference, etc.)

January 21, 2021, IMAG/MSM WG on Multiscale Modeling for Viral Pandemics 

Kevin A. Janes Slides

Kevin A. Janes Video

Rahuman Sheriff Slides

Rahuman Sheriff Video

Kevin A. Janes Abstract: We encoded the complete kinetics of infection for coxsackievirus B3 (CVB3), a compact and fast-acting RNA virus.  The kinetics are built from detailed modules for viral binding–delivery, translation–replication, and encapsidation.  Specific module activities are dampened by the type I interferon response to viral double-stranded RNAs (dsRNAs), which is itself disrupted by viral proteinases.  The validated kinetics uncovered that cleavability of the dsRNA transducer mitochondrial antiviral signaling protein (MAVS) becomes a stronger determinant of viral outcomes when cells receive supplemental interferon after infection.  Cleavability is naturally altered in humans by a common MAVS polymorphism, which removes a proteinase-targeted site but paradoxically elevates CVB3 infectivity.  These observations are reconciled with a simple nonlinear model of MAVS regulation.  Modeling complete kinetics is an attainable goal for small, rapidly infecting viruses and perhaps viral pathogens more broadly. 

Rahuman Sheriff Abstract: From https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.07.239855v1: The reproducibility crisis has emerged as an important concern across many fields of science including life science, since many published results failed to reproduce. Systems biology modelling, which involves mathematical representation of biological processes to study complex system behaviour, was expected to be least affected by this crisis. While lack of reproducibility of experimental results and computational analysis could be a repercussion of several compounded factors, it was not fully understood why systems biology models with well-defined mathematical expressions fail to reproduce and how prevalent it is. Hence, we systematically attempted to reproduce 455 kinetic models of biological processes published in peer-reviewed research articles from 152 journals; which is collectively a work of about 1400 scientists from 49 countries. Our investigation revealed that about half (49%) of the models could not be reproduced using the information provided in the published manuscripts. With further effort, an additional 12% of the models could be reproduced either by empirical correction or support from authors. The other 37% remained non-reproducible models due to missing parameter values, missing initial concentration, inconsistent model structure, or a combination of these factors. Among the corresponding authors of the non-reproducible model we contacted, less than 30% responded. Our analysis revealed that models published in journals across several fields of life science failed to reproduce, revealing a common problem in the peer-review process. Hence, we propose an 8-point reproducibility scorecard that can be used by authors, reviewers and journal editors to assess each model and address the reproducibility crisis.